BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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San Jose St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 255 Conference: Mountain West Record: (4-15) Overall: (6-24) Overall Strength =   30.30

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-10-2022 Away    L    17.15  44  74    1 110 ( 17- 12) Tulsa                 -13.36    -16.64                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    L    25.95  63  71    1 194 ( 14- 15) CS Fullerton           -4.56     -3.44                      
  3 11-19-2022 Away    W    38.62  48  42    1 247 (  8- 23) CS Northridge           8.11     -2.11                      
  4 11-22-2022 Home    L    31.00  65  74 1  1 122 ( 20- 11) Montana St              0.50     -9.50                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral L    30.66  54  67    1 113 ( 19- 10) UTEP                    0.15    -13.15                      
  6 11-26-2022 Away    L    25.91  53  62    1 242 ( 10- 17) Cal Poly               -4.60     -4.40                      
  7 12-01-2022 Home    L    20.83  48  63    1 162 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA           -9.68     -5.32                      
  8 12-06-2022 Away    L    36.41  44  71    1  31 ( 21-  9) Southern Cal            5.90 *  -32.90                      
  9 12-13-2022 Away    L    13.53  49  81    1 127 ( 15- 17) Santa Clara           -16.97    -15.03                      
 10 12-18-2022 Home    W    44.90  70  56    1 232 ( 13- 17) UC San Diego           14.40     -0.40                      
 11 12-21-2022 Home    L    26.41  43  54    1 143 ( 15- 14) Hawaii                 -4.10     -6.90                      
 12 12-29-2022 Away    L *  21.53  47  64    1 203 ( 10- 20) Nevada                 -8.97     -8.03                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    L *  30.18  62  73    1 167 ( 17- 15) Boise St               -0.32    -10.68                      
 14 01-05-2023 Home    L *  22.83  64  77    1 169 ( 13- 18) Air Force              -7.68     -5.32                      
 15 01-07-2023 Away    L *  23.21  51  65    1 216 ( 10- 22) Fresno St              -7.30     -6.70                      
 16 01-11-2023 Home    L *  25.23  58  84    1  64 ( 28-  2) UNLV                   -5.27    -20.73                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    L *  26.56  48  64    1 106 ( 20-  9) Wyoming                -3.95    -12.05                      
 18 01-16-2023 Away    L *  33.95  70  77    1 169 ( 13- 18) Air Force               3.44    -10.44                      
 19 01-21-2023 Home    W *  35.80  77  59    1 338 (  4- 26) Utah St                 5.29     12.71                      
 20 01-26-2023 Home    L *  26.41  67  74    1 203 ( 10- 20) Nevada                 -4.09     -2.91                      
 21 01-28-2023 Away    L *  30.07  39  59    1  89 ( 22-  9) San Diego St           -0.43    -19.57                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    L *  33.68  54  68    1 106 ( 20-  9) Wyoming                 3.17    -17.17                      
 23 02-09-2023 Home    L *  43.52  57  59    1  86 ( 19- 10) Colorado St            13.02    -15.02                      
 24 02-11-2023 Home    L *  19.95  55  80    1  89 ( 22-  9) San Diego St          -10.55    -14.45                      
 25 02-16-2023 Away    L *  39.35  60  77    1  64 ( 28-  2) UNLV                    8.85    -25.85                      
 26 02-18-2023 Away    L *  39.06  61  70    1 112 ( 20- 11) New Mexico              8.56    -17.56                      
 27 02-23-2023 Home    L *  28.06  70  78    1 167 ( 17- 15) Boise St               -2.44     -5.56                      
 28 02-25-2023 Home    W *  39.08  73  66    1 216 ( 10- 22) Fresno St               8.58     -1.58                      
 29 02-28-2023 Away    W *  35.92  78  65    1 338 (  4- 26) Utah St                 5.41      7.59                      
 30 03-05-2023 Neutral W *  49.39  62  51    1 169 ( 13- 18) Air Force              18.88     -7.88                      
      Averages              30.50  57.8 67.5

Best game:   49.39 = 11 point win over Air Force
Worst game:  13.53 = 32 point loss to Santa Clara
Team stdev:   8.57